The global warming numbers are staggering, scary, and
daunting: ten warmest years on record have occurred in the past 15 years; the
6-8 inches rise of sea levels in the last 100 years; a 67.5% increase in the
concentration of the Earth’s carbon dioxide from the year 1900; the depletion
of valuable fossil fuels by human consumption; a decrease of the polar ice caps
at a rate of nine percent every 10 years; and the almost one degree Celsius increase
in the Earth’s average temperature in the last two centuries. The debate is not if Global Warming is
happening; the real debate is rather the warming is due to human negligence and
abuse or if the warming is part of the world’s natural cycle of climate change. But what if there is a third option? What if the global warming is due to a
combination of both factors and the solution requires research and solutions
from both opposing sides? It is time to
stop debating on the obvious existence of global warming, and instead, attack
the issue head on as both a man made and climate change instead of either or.
In his lecture “The Truth about Global Warming-Science and
Distortion,” Nobel Peace Prize Winner Stephen Schneider pointed out that the mass
media and special interest groups from both sides are creating a fraudulent
debate in regards to global warming. “Special
interest groups will take one component, put it out of context, and spin to fit
their interests, and you end up with “the end of the world” vs. “good for
you.” This is called “two lowest
probability outcomes” and when left by the media and special interests to the
public to figure out on their own, the outcome is “utter distortion.” Instead
of being an issue that is being solved by the systems of science, the problem
of global warming has become the rope in a special interest game of tug-of-war,
and the mud puddle in the middle is the stockpile of the real facts that become
so muddled in the dirt, no one can decipher or tell them apart. (“The Truth about Global Warming-Science and
Distortion,” Stephen Schneider).
What are the facts? The fact is global warming is very
real. NASA defines global warming as
“the average global surface temperature increase from human emissions of
greenhouse gases.” Environmentalists
sticking steadfast to their hypothesis that this global warming is due humans’
excessive use, particularly in the past 200 years since the industrial
revolution in the ninetenth century, of valuable fossil fuels, causing
environmental problems of dangerously high carbon dioxide levels, record heat
waves, melting ice caps leading to record high sea levels and stronger storms,
disappearing forests, and the extinction of thousands of the world’s
species. Then there is the other side of
the argument that includes scientists and special interest groups who feel that
there is an alternative explanation to global warming which is that of natural
climate change. Most conservatives
believe that climate change is the cause of global warming and that most
liberals and global warming supporters are too quick to predict the cause
without weighing out all the causes. See
the tug-of-war battle now?
So who’s right? What if both are right? The fact of the
matter is that the Earth has been experiencing natural cycles of cooling and
warming since its creation over 4.5 billion years ago. Polar ice caps have been melting, freezing,
melting, and then freezing again since the beginning of time. The Bering Strait, Pangaea, Himalayas, Swiss
Alps, Mt. Denali, and the Grand Canyon all came from melting glaciers and ice
caps, and the rising and receding of sea levels. There are whole mountain ranges miles below
the ocean that were once high above sea level.
Even during the medieval times, it is believed that there was actually a
warmer period of summer than the ones the Earth has been experiencing in the
past 15 years. One also cannot forget
that, since its creation over 4 billion years ago, the Earth has experienced at
least 4 Ice Age periods; the last one having occurred about 1.8 million years
ago during the Pleistocene Period (livescience.com). All these natural occurrences are examples of
and proof that the Earth does have natural shifts in its climate cycles. These examples are also similar, if not more
extreme, than the effects the planet is experiencing in the global warming of
today’s day and age.
On the other hand, one can’t deny the dangerous and
debilitating effects that the human species are having on the planet with the
over consumption of fossil fuels and over saturation of the Earth’s atmosphere
with carbon dioxide. There is no denying that the oceans are getting warmer,
and cities on the coasts, like New Orleans and even New York City, are experiencing
stronger and more powerful storm fronts as a result of those increased average
temperatures of the ocean waters and eroding of marshlands and beaches that act
as nature’s “sponge” to help protect coastal cities and towns against flooding.
Countries like China, the US, and India
are the world’s highest coal consumers at 47 percent, 14 percent, and 9 percent
respectively (eia.gov). With an overall
oil consumption that is 25 percent of the world’s total production and oil
companies like Exxon making $104 million per day, of course the US special
interest groups like Koch Industries wants the public to believe the hypothesis
that natural climate change is the cause of global warming (The Week, Feb. 16,
2013). With new pipeline construction projects such
as the Keystone Pipeline, on standby with a potential of over $130 billion in
oil revenue over a course of 20 years (Keystone-xl.com), why would special
interest oil groups or the politicians backed by these groups want the public
to believe that the consumption of fossil fuels is causing dangerous global
warming effects on the planet?
My argument is not for either side; I believe that the issues
of global warming are a combination of both natural climate changes and man made
pollution factors. There is just not
enough evidence to discredit natural climate change causation. We haven’t been tracking weather patterns for
long enough time, nor have we had the satellite technology needed to accurately
study the climate system factors, such as global average cloudiness, to
scientifically discredit the Earth’s natural climate cycles as contributors to
global warming. Why can’t we work to
find greener and cleaner energy options and track the planet’s natural climate
change so when our children’s children are faced with the same issues or
problems, we have provided the history of science for them to refer to so they
don’t repeat the mistakes we are making with this issue today? I also can’t deny the clear facts on the
environmentalists’ side as well. Having
lived in Alaska as a child for 4 years, and recently visiting again this year,
I have witnessed that humans definitely do have a direct effect on the planet.
When I went to go see a famous glacier right outside of Girdwood that I used to
visit as a child; I was greatly shocked to see that in place of the beautiful
ice blue glacier that came all the way down the mountain was nearly almost gone
and was mostly replaced with mud and grass.
As Stephen Schneider stated, we are living in world of utter
distortion when it comes to the matter of global warming. (“The Truth about Global Warming-Science and
Distortion,” Stephen Schneider). Why are
we sitting around arguing over what the Greenland tipping point is or where it
is? Why are we not just coming together
on the simple fact that the Greenland tipping point is there no matter the
cause and work instead to find a way to avoid it? The question is not rather or not we come up
with greener energy options and use them, because we are at the point where now
that question does not matter; we don’t have a choice. Green energy is now our reality, and it doesn’t
matter if it’s Mother Nature’s fault or Exxon’s. This is the time that the public takes the “two
lowest probability outcomes” that the media and special interest groups offer and
throw it out the door. What if we, as
the public, make the question of “why" irrelevant and force energy
companies to face the real relevant question of “how do we fix it?” Compromise is how we do it. The green energy conversion can’t be done
overnight; so let’s meet in the middle and tap into our natural gas options along with building
the Keystone Pipeline to gain some energy dependence and economic stability as
a country as we make the transition and
reinvest in rebuilding a planet friendly, profitable, and new infrastructure. At the end of the day, when our sea levels
have risen three ft. and our coasts are being hit by storms on the scale we
never could have imagined, our great grandchildren are not going to care who
was right about causation; they are going to care about the fact we failed at finding
a solution. Since we agree there is
global warming but not on causation, why don’t we parallel, double park,
sideways? Let’s treat the problem as a
causation of both factors and devote valuable time, effort, and ideas on the
real matter at hand and close the door on utter distortion by truly finding a
solution to global warming that covers all bases.
Fallon,
ReplyDeleteGreat post. I like your middle of the road, both sides are being extreme take on this topic (and others). It shows good, skeptical intelligence. Your research is great, and the facts that you present are strong and convincing.
My one suggestion would be to write more about the two camps on this issue. What environmentalists are promoting global warming? Which interest groups are aligning with which political parties? Can you find quotes from national leaders on both sides of this issue?
The rest is top notch. Phenomenal writing. Excellent analysis. Very
strong.
GR: 94
I thought I did that any ideas on how I could have done that better? Thanks for the feedback my favorite subject matter so far
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